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Boston College - North Carolina Matchup
Boston College (6-2) will meet the North Carolina Tarheels (3-4) this weekend in Chapel Hill.
Both teams are coming off road losses to top ten teams. The Eagles lost to Virginia Tech 30-10
while the Heels lost to Miami 34-16. This game will be a rematch of last year's Continental Tire
Bowl which the Eagles won 37-24. The Eagles are currently listed as a 4 1/2 point favorite.
Here are the key players:
The Quarterbacks |
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Quinton Porter -- 63.8% comp, 1,213 yards, 9 TD, 7 INT |
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Matt Baker -- 52.6% comp, 1,401 yards, 7 TD, 9 INT |
Top Rushers |
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L.V. Whitworth -- 482 yards, 4.3 ypc, 3 TD |
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Andre Callender -- 451 yards, 5.1 ypc, 1 TD |
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Barrington Edwards -- 362 yards, 3.6 ypc, 2 TD |
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Ronnie McGill -- 210 yards, 4.4 ypc, 3 TD |
Top Receivers |
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Will Blackmon (WR) -- 32 catches, 340 yards, 3 TD |
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Larry Lester (WR) -- 25 catches, 303 yards, 1 TD |
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Jesse Holley (WR) -- 27 catches, 355 yards, 1 TD |
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Jarwarski Pollock (WR) -- 15 catches, 154 yards, 2 TD |
Top Defenders |
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Jamie Silva (FS) -- 54 tackles, 2.5 TFL |
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Ray Henderson (LB) -- 52 tackles, 4.5 TFL |
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Brian Toal (LB) -- 47 tackles, 2 sacks |
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Tommy Richardson (LB) -- 56 tackles, 5.5 TFL |
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Larry Edwards (LB) -- 51 tackles, 7 TFL |
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Cedric Holt (CB) -- 36 tackles, 2 INT, 6 PBU |
The Kickers |
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William Troost -- 1/1 FG, 11/11 PAT |
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Connor Barth -- 3/11 FG, 16/16 PAT |
The Punters |
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Johnny Ayers -- 41.9 yards per punt |
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David Wooldridge -- 41.6 yards per punt |
The Kick Returners |
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Will Blackmon -- 21.6 yds per KO return, 7.6 yds per punt return |
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Brandon Tate -- 28.2 yards per KO ret, 9.2 yds per punt return |
Final Analysis
Offensively, the Tarheels have been a train wreck. North Carolina ranks 101st in the country in
total offense and is averaging just 17.9 points per game. Quarterback Matt Baker has completed less
than 53% of his passes and has thrown 9 interceptions (along with 7 TDs). Carolina is averaging just
2.7 yards per rush but those numbers should improve by the end of the season thanks to Ronnie McGill
who is averaging 4.4 yards per carry in three games since returning from a muscle tear in this chest.
The Tarheel offensive line, which averages 6'4" and 298 pounds, has surrendered 19 sacks (2.7 per
game). Carolina's biggest offensive weapon is 6'3" receiver Jesse Holley. Carolina's second
leading receiver, Jarwarski Pollock, caught 71 passes in 2003 but that total slipped to 45 last season
and 15 so far this year. Pollock has battled a knee injury this season.
North Carolina has improved dramatically on defense this season. In 2004, the Tarheels gave up an
average of 447 yards per game (109th in the NCAA). This season, that total has dropped to only 343
yards per game (38th in the NCAA). North Carolina has an experienced defense (they returned nine
starters) led by linebackers Tommy Richardson and Larry Edwards. The duo has combined for 107
tackles, 12.5 of those for lost yardage. Senior cornerback Cedric Holt has 2 interceptions and
6 passes broken up and has contributed to 36 tackles. North Carolina has also generated a nice pass
rush. They have sacked opponents 24 times this season (3.5 per game).
North Carolina has had even more problems with their kicking game than BC has. Sophomore
Connor Barth converted on 14 of his 18 field goal attempts a year ago and was regarded as one
of the best kickers in the league. He's made only 3 of 11 attempts this season. Brandon Tate
has an impressive 28.2 yards per kickoff return including a touchdown.
I don't think the Tarheels will be able to move the ball against the Eagles. Their passing
game, running game and offensive line are all below average. The Eagle defense will surely
want to atone for their performance against Virginia Tech and North Carolina provides a great
opportunity to do that. It is impossible to predict how the North Carolina defense will perform
on Saturday because they have been like two different teams this season. One week, Louisville
dropped 69 points and nearly 500 yards on the Carolina defense. The next week, the Tarheels
held Virginia to 199 yards and 5 points. Last Saturday, Carolina held Miami in check in the
first half and led 16-7. In the second half, Miami steamrolled the UNC defense 27-0. If North
Carolina brings their "A" game, the Eagle offense could struggle once again. A strong pass rush
is the BC offense's worst nightmare and Carolina is more than capable of generating that type of
pressure. If they bring their "D" game, BC should have a very leisurely day. From what I can
tell, the Carolina defense has no "B" or "C" game.
Prediction: Boston College 24 North Carolina 10
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North Carolina by the Numbers
North Carolina has been outscored 105-54 in the
second half.
Carolina has played 12 ranked teams since the
start of last season. They are 3-9 in those games.
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Statistic |
BC |
NC |
Offense - Run |
61 |
103 |
Offense - Pass |
30 |
81 |
Offense - Total |
45 |
101 |
Defense - Run |
7 |
39 |
Defense - Pass |
43 |
52 |
Defense - Total |
16 |
38 |
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